Another week, another DeepSeek, and another insane valuation for OpenAI

by Inside China Business [12-1-2025].

(RAD: The main difference between Chinese & American business models is that essentially everything in China is "open source", whereas it is "proprietary" in America, yet the Chinese are still profitable & often pull ahead in many sectors at a much lower cost. The Chinese government has built industrial parks where everyone communicates & borrows the best ideas. — RAD)

AI models from Chinese labs are comparable in performance to the top systems from Silicon Valley.

But Chinese models are open-source, and are developed in a fraction of the cost and time.

They are also preferred by business users, which presents a serious problem for the valuations of firms like OpenAI, which owns ChatGPT. OpenAI's most recent funding round valued the company at over $500 billion, which is also what is needed to develop the Stargate project. By contrast, the latest offering from Moonshot, the #2-ranked model, comes from a company valued at just $3 billion.

The investment thesis for the Magnificent 7 relies on users paying premium prices for access to proprietary systems. But even technicians working on Silicon Valley itself increasingly use Chinese models like Alibaba's Qwen and DeepSeek, which are more up-to-date and affordable.

Closing scene, Huaxiacheng Park, Weihai

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DeepSeek exposes a fundamental advantage of China's system: their whole economy is open source [1-17-2025] Tech industry insiders are shocked at China's rapid progress in Artificial Intelligence, especially given our export bans on the fastest semiconductors. In the most recent development, DeepSeek introduced their AI model that outperforms the ones developed by Facebook (Meta) and ChatGPT (OpenAI). DeepSeek's model was developed with less than 9% of the computing hours thought necessary to build such a rich model, and at an astonishing cost of just $6 million. DeepSeek's announcement followed those of Tencent and Alibaba, who developed their models with slower, older-generation chips, but whose AI outperform rivals from Silicon Valley. The difference, though, is that these Chinese AI models and LLM's were all developed using open-source frameworks. And China's entire economy runs the same way: infrastructure, supply chains, university research, and technology are widely shared by hundreds of companies with hundreds of thousands of engineers within similar industries. The same dynamics that propel China's industries to dominate in other sectors are employed in the fields of AI and semiconductor chip design. To understand how and why China has closed the gap so quickly in technology, knowledge of tech and semiconductors are far less important than the understanding of China's industrial clustering policy.

Tech stocks fall as China's DeepSeek sparks U.S. worries about the AI race [1-27-2025]

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